Where and when is Garudayaksa vs Arema FC played?

Garudayaksa vs Arema FC is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC), in the Liga 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Garudayaksa vs Arema FC: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)

Garudayaksa

Arema FC

The Footlab model makes Garudayaksa the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Garudayaksa vs Arema FC?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Garudayaksa (1,734) and Arema FC (1,747).

Garudayaksa win44 %

Draw26 %

Arema FC win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Garudayaksa have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Arema FC have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Garudayaksa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	PSS Sleman(away)	2-2	Liga 2
May 2, 2026	Persikad Depok FC(home)	3-1	Liga 2
Apr 25, 2026	Sriwijaya FC(away)	3-0	Liga 2
Apr 19, 2026	Persiraja Banda Aceh(away)	2-2	Liga 2
Apr 11, 2026	PSMS Medan(home)	1-0	Liga 2

Arema FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 6, 2026	Persija(away)	1-3	Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026	Persebaya Surabaya(away)	0-1	Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026	DPMM FC Brunei(home)	2-0	Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026	Tampines Rovers(away)	2-1	Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026	Persib Bandung(away)	0-1	Piala Presiden

How many goals should we expect?

Garudayaksa score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Garudayaksa	1.5	0.9	6	8/15	8/15
Arema FC	1.5	1.3	5	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Arema FC	34	13	9	12	53	47	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Garudayaksa vs Arema FC?: The Footlab model makes Garudayaksa the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Arema FC.
Where and when is Garudayaksa vs Arema FC played?: Garudayaksa vs Arema FC is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC), in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.