Pusamania Borneo vs Dewa United: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan
The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Dewa United. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pusamania Borneo vs Dewa United?
Pusamania Borneo starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pusamania Borneo have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Dewa United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Malut United(home) | 7-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persijap(away) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 3-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persita(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persik Kediri(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persis Solo(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(away) | 5-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Semen Padang(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persijap(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pusamania Borneo win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Dewa United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Dewa United 2-1 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Pusamania Borneo 4-0 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Dewa United 0-1 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Pusamania Borneo 1-0 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2024 | Dewa United 2-1 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Pusamania Borneo 3-1 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Dewa United vs Pusamania Borneo on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pusamania Borneo score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dewa United score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pusamania Borneo | 2.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Dewa United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pusamania Borneo sit 2nd in Liga 1 (79 points from 34 matches) and Dewa United sit 7th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pusamania Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74 | 31 | 79 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44 | 37 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pusamania Borneo vs Dewa United?
- The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Dewa United.
- Where and when is Pusamania Borneo vs Dewa United played?
- Pusamania Borneo vs Dewa United is played on September 16, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Batakan, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.