Gasogi United vs Gorilla: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, Kigali
The Footlab model makes Gasogi United the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Gorilla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gasogi United vs Gorilla?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Gasogi United (1,611) and Gorilla (1,635).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gasogi United have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Gorilla have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 17, 2026 | Musanze(away) | 2-3 | National Soccer League |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 10, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 5, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Al Merreikh(home) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 26, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| May 15, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 9, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 6, 2026 | AS Kigali(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gasogi United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gorilla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Gasogi United 2-1 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Gorilla 1-2 Gasogi United | National Soccer League |
| May 20, 2025 | Gorilla 2-1 Gasogi United | National Soccer League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Gasogi United 2-2 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Gasogi United 1-0 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Gorilla 2-2 Gasogi United | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Gasogi United vs Gorilla on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gasogi United score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gorilla score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gasogi United | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gorilla | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gasogi United sit 15th in National Soccer League (35 points from 34 matches) and Gorilla sit 11th (40 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 42 | 40 |
| 15 | Gasogi United | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 44 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gasogi United vs Gorilla?
- The Footlab model makes Gasogi United the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Gorilla.
- Where and when is Gasogi United vs Gorilla played?
- Gasogi United vs Gorilla is played on September 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.