Etincelles vs Musanze: result 1-0 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Umuganda, Gisenyi
Full time
What was the result of Etincelles vs Musanze?
Etincelles won 1-0 on September 15, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 90′681569Etincelles
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Etincelles win at 36%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etincelles have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Musanze have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gorilla(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sunrise(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 26, 2026 | Gorilla(away) | 4-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Marines(away) | 3-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | AS Kigali(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2026 | Marines(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 17, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 3-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 9, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Etincelles wins, 2 draws, 1 Musanze win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Etincelles 1-0 Musanze | National Soccer League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Musanze 1-3 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| May 1, 2025 | Etincelles 3-0 Musanze | National Soccer League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Musanze 0-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Musanze 1-1 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Etincelles 0-3 Musanze | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Etincelles score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Musanze score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etincelles | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Musanze | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etincelles sit 16th in National Soccer League (7 points from 7 matches) and Musanze sit 8th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Musanze | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Etincelles vs Musanze?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy