Etoile de l'Est vs Gicumbi: result 1-2 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueMatchday 3Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Etoile de l'Est vs Gicumbi?
Gicumbi won 1-2 on September 15, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 16′Arafat Al HajGicumbi
- 45′S. ArigumahoEtoile de l'Est
- 86′Arafat Al HajGicumbi
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Etoile de l'Est win at 37%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etoile de l'Est have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Gicumbi have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | AS Kigali(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 11, 2024 | Bugesera(home) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| May 4, 2024 | Police(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Marines(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Amagaju(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Police(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 31, 2026 | APR(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2026 | Mukura(home) | 3-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 15, 2026 | AS Kigali(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Etoile de l'Est wins, 1 draw, 1 Gicumbi win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | Etoile de l'Est 1-1 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Gicumbi 2-0 Etoile de l'Est | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Etoile de l'Est vs Gicumbi on Feb 16, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Etoile de l'Est score 0.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gicumbi score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etoile de l'Est | 0.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 2/15 | 2/15 |
| Gicumbi | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etoile de l'Est sit 13th in National Soccer League (7 points from 7 matches) and Gicumbi sit 2nd (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gicumbi | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 13 | Etoile de l'Est | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Etoile de l'Est vs Gicumbi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy