Where and when is Gavorrano vs Grassina played?

Gavorrano vs Grassina is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gavorrano vs Grassina: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Romeo Malservisi, Bagno di Gavorrano

Gavorrano

Grassina

The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Gavorrano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gavorrano vs Grassina?

Grassina starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,780 vs 1,664).

Gavorrano win32 %

Draw30 %

Grassina win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gavorrano have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Grassina have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gavorrano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Camaiore(home)	3-2	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Tau Altopascio(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Scandicci(away)	3-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Orvietana Calcio(home)	0-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026	Sporting Trestina(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E

Grassina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2020	Aglianese(away)	3-3	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 23, 2020	Gavorrano(away)	0-2	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 16, 2020	Flaminia(home)	2-0	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 9, 2020	Cannara(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 2, 2020	Scandicci(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Gavorrano win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Grassina win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 23, 2020	Gavorrano 2-0 Grassina	Serie D - Girone E
Oct 20, 2019	Grassina 1-1 Gavorrano	Serie D - Girone E

Last archived meeting: Gavorrano vs Grassina on Feb 23, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Gavorrano score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Grassina score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gavorrano	1.1	1.4	2	9/15	5/15
Grassina	1.5	1.1	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Gavorrano	34	9	10	15	36	49	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gavorrano vs Grassina?: The Footlab model makes Grassina the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Gavorrano.
Where and when is Gavorrano vs Grassina played?: Gavorrano vs Grassina is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.