Grassina vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E · Matchday 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio di Grassina, Bagno a Ripoli
The Footlab AI model makes Grassina the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Grassina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grassina vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
Grassina starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,708 vs 1,585).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Grassina vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Grassina
Not enough data to predict the Grassina lineup.
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Not enough data to predict the Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grassina have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Rondinella(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Progresso(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Grassina score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grassina | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grassina sit 16th in Serie D - Girone E (7 points from 11 matches) and Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano sit 18th (3 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grassina | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 7 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 3 |
A question about Grassina vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grassina vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Grassina the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano.
- Where and when is Grassina vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano played?
- Grassina vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio di Grassina, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.