Montevarchi Calcio vs Gavorrano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi
The Footlab AI model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Gavorrano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montevarchi Calcio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Gavorrano?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Montevarchi Calcio (1,707) and Gavorrano (1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montevarchi Calcio vs Gavorrano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montevarchi Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Montevarchi Calcio lineup.
Gavorrano
4-3-3- 9Cristian Carlo Brega
- 19R. Barbuti
- 11M. Malotti
- 8Loris Damonte
- 25Leandro Vitiello
- 21F. Conti
- 3P. Ropolo
- 23D. Mori
- 6D. Marchetti
- 16G. Favale
- 1W. Falcone
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montevarchi Calcio have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Gavorrano have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rondinella(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Prato(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Flaminia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Montevarchi Calcio win, 4 draws, 1 Gavorrano win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Gavorrano 0-0 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Montevarchi Calcio 0-1 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Gavorrano 1-1 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Montevarchi Calcio 1-0 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Montevarchi Calcio 1-1 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Gavorrano 1-1 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montevarchi Calcio score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gavorrano score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montevarchi Calcio | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Gavorrano | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montevarchi Calcio sit 10th in Serie D - Girone E (10 points from 8 matches) and Gavorrano sit 2nd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Montevarchi Calcio vs Gavorrano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montevarchi Calcio vs Gavorrano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Gavorrano.
- Where and when is Montevarchi Calcio vs Gavorrano played?
- Montevarchi Calcio vs Gavorrano is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.