Where and when is Gavorrano vs Mezzolara played?

Gavorrano vs Mezzolara is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gavorrano vs Mezzolara: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 28Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Romeo Malservisi, Bagno di Gavorrano

Gavorrano

Mezzolara

The Footlab model makes Gavorrano the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Mezzolara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gavorrano vs Mezzolara?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Gavorrano (1,643) and Mezzolara (1,561).

Gavorrano win48 %

Draw28 %

Mezzolara win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gavorrano have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Mezzolara have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gavorrano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Camaiore(home)	3-2	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Tau Altopascio(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Scandicci(away)	3-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Orvietana Calcio(home)	0-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026	Sporting Trestina(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E

Mezzolara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 5, 2024	Progresso(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 28, 2024	Forli(away)	0-2	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 21, 2024	Sammaurese(home)	3-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 14, 2024	Aglianese(home)	0-0	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 7, 2024	Sangiuliano City(away)	1-2	Serie D - Girone D

How many goals should we expect?

Gavorrano score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mezzolara score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gavorrano	1.1	1.4	2	9/15	5/15
Mezzolara	0.8	1.5	4	6/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Gavorrano	34	9	10	15	36	49	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gavorrano vs Mezzolara?: The Footlab model makes Gavorrano the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Mezzolara.
Where and when is Gavorrano vs Mezzolara played?: Gavorrano vs Mezzolara is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.