Match

Gavorrano vs Mezzolara: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 28Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Romeo Malservisi, Bagno di Gavorrano

GavorranoMezzolara

The Footlab AI model makes Gavorrano the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Mezzolara. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,102 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gavorrano vs Mezzolara?

Gavorrano starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,721 vs 1,605).

53%27%20%
Gavorrano winDrawMezzolara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gavorrano vs Mezzolara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gavorrano

4-3-3
  1. 9Cristian Carlo Brega
  2. 19R. Barbuti
  3. 11M. Malotti
  1. 8Loris Damonte
  2. 25Leandro Vitiello
  3. 21F. Conti
  1. 3P. Ropolo
  2. 23D. Mori
  3. 6D. Marchetti
  4. 16G. Favale
  1. 1W. Falcone

Mezzolara

Not enough data to predict the Mezzolara lineup.

Computed on October 23, 2026 at 12:28 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gavorrano have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Mezzolara have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gavorrano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Prato(home)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Oct 11, 2026Terranuova Traiana(home)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Oct 4, 2026Flaminia(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Sasso Marconi Zola(home)2-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle(away)2-0Serie D - Girone E
Mezzolara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Flaminia(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Oct 11, 2026Sasso Marconi Zola(home)2-2Serie D - Girone E
Oct 4, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Grassina(home)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Gavorrano score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mezzolara score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gavorrano1.40.9410/154/15
Mezzolara0.81.538/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gavorrano sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone E (16 points from 8 matches) and Mezzolara sit 14th (8 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Gavorrano844011516
14Mezzolara7151688

A question about Gavorrano vs Mezzolara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gavorrano vs Mezzolara?
The Footlab AI model makes Gavorrano the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Mezzolara.
Where and when is Gavorrano vs Mezzolara played?
Gavorrano vs Mezzolara is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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