Galatasaray vs Trabzonspor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)RAMS Park, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Trabzonspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galatasaray vs Trabzonspor?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Galatasaray (2,159) and Trabzonspor (2,085).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galatasaray have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Trabzonspor have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Galatasaray win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Trabzonspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Trabzonspor 2-1 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Galatasaray 4-1 Trabzonspor | Super Cup |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Galatasaray 0-0 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| May 14, 2025 | Trabzonspor 3-0 Galatasaray | Türkiye Kupası |
| May 10, 2025 | Trabzonspor 0-2 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Dec 16, 2024 | Galatasaray 4-3 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Galatasaray score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Trabzonspor score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Trabzonspor | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galatasaray sit 2nd in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Trabzonspor sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Galatasaray | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galatasaray vs Trabzonspor?
- The Footlab model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Trabzonspor.
- Where and when is Galatasaray vs Trabzonspor played?
- Galatasaray vs Trabzonspor is played on February 28, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at RAMS Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.