Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli
The Footlab model makes Kocaelispor the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Gaziantep FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Kocaelispor (1,857) and Gaziantep FK (1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kocaelispor have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Gaziantep FK have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(away) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Kocaelispor win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Gaziantep FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Kocaelispor 3-0 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Gaziantep FK 1-0 Kocaelispor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Gaziantep FK 2-0 Kocaelispor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 16, 2020 | Gaziantep FK 3-2 Kocaelispor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kocaelispor score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gaziantep FK score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Gaziantep FK | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kocaelispor sit 17th in Süper Lig (0 points from 1 matches) and Gaziantep FK sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Gaziantep FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?
- The Footlab model makes Kocaelispor the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Gaziantep FK.
- Where and when is Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK played?
- Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK is played on September 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.