Match

Gazte Berriak vs Mutilvera: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 19Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Gazte BerriakMutilvera

The Footlab model makes Gazte Berriak the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Mutilvera. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gazte Berriak vs Mutilvera?

Gazte Berriak win64 %
Draw21 %
Mutilvera win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Gazte Berriak have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Mutilvera have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mutilvera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Peña Sport(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Amorebieta(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026UD Logroñés(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Utebo(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Basconia(away)0-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gazte Berriak vs Mutilvera?
The Footlab model makes Gazte Berriak the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Mutilvera.
Where and when is Gazte Berriak vs Mutilvera played?
Gazte Berriak vs Mutilvera is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gazte Berriak and Mutilvera

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