Valle Egüés vs Subiza: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 19Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sarriguren, Sarriguren
The Footlab AI model makes Valle Egüés the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Subiza. The most likely score is 1-1. If Valle Egüés wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valle Egüés vs Subiza?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Valle Egüés (1,763) and Subiza (1,823).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valle Egüés vs Subiza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valle Egüés
Not enough data to predict the Valle Egüés lineup.
Subiza
Not enough data to predict the Subiza lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valle Egüés have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Subiza have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aoiz(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cantolagua(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mutilvera(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Subiza(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bidezarra(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cirbonero(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Valle Egüés win, 0 draws, 5 Subiza wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Subiza 5-2 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Subiza 4-1 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Valle Egüés 0-3 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Valle Egüés 1-0 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Subiza 1-0 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Subiza 2-1 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Subiza vs Valle Egüés on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valle Egüés score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Subiza score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valle Egüés | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Subiza | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valle Egüés sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (6 points from 6 matches) and Subiza sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Subiza | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Valle Egüés | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Valle Egüés vs Subiza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valle Egüés vs Subiza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Valle Egüés the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Subiza.
- Where and when is Valle Egüés vs Subiza played?
- Valle Egüés vs Subiza is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sarriguren, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.