Mutilvera vs Valle Egüés: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 20Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren, Mutilva Baja
The Footlab model makes Mutilvera the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Valle Egüés. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mutilvera vs Valle Egüés?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Mutilvera (1,746) and Valle Egüés (1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutilvera have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Valle Egüés have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Peña Sport(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Utebo(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Cirbonero(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Artajonés(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Subiza(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mutilvera win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Valle Egüés win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | Valle Egüés 2-0 Mutilvera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Mutilvera 0-3 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Mutilvera 1-0 Valle Egüés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Valle Egüés 0-2 Mutilvera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Valle Egüés 2-3 Mutilvera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Mutilvera 3-1 Valle Egüés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Valle Egüés vs Mutilvera on Mar 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mutilvera score 0.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Valle Egüés score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutilvera | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Valle Egüés | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Valle Egüés | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 57 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mutilvera vs Valle Egüés?
- The Footlab model makes Mutilvera the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Valle Egüés.
- Where and when is Mutilvera vs Valle Egüés played?
- Mutilvera vs Valle Egüés is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.