Geča vs Spišská Nová Ves: prediction and stats
CupRound of 128Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión FK Geča, Geča
The Footlab model makes Spišská Nová Ves the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Geča. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geča vs Spišská Nová Ves?
Spišská Nová Ves starts as the favourite with a 274-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,469).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Geča have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Spišská Nová Ves have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2025 | Lokomotíva Košice(home) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Kechnec(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Slávia TU Košice(home) | 1-6 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Bidovce(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Liptovský Mikuláš(home) | 0-6 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slávia TU Košice(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovan Sabinov(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vranov nad Topľou(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Poprad(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Geča score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 6; Spišská Nová Ves score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geča | 1.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 2/6 | 4/6 |
| Spišská Nová Ves | 2.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geča vs Spišská Nová Ves?
- The Footlab model makes Spišská Nová Ves the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Geča.
- Where and when is Geča vs Spišská Nová Ves played?
- Geča vs Spišská Nová Ves is played on August 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión FK Geča, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 2026Snina1-2Humenné
- Aug 12, 2026Levoča2-2Sokol Brezovica
- Aug 18, 2026FC Topoľčany0-5Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
- Aug 18, 2026Družstevník Bešeňov0-2Nové Zámky
- Aug 18, 2026Starý Smokovec0-2Poprad
- Aug 18, 2026Partizán Osrblie1-2Oravské Veselé
- Aug 18, 2026Spišské Podhradie0-5Ružomberok
- Aug 18, 2026Slovan Giraltovce2-6Partizán Bardejov