Geestemünde vs Brinkumer SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 8Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, Bremerhaven
The Footlab model makes Brinkumer SV the favourite at 68%, against 14% for a draw and 17% for Geestemünde. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geestemünde vs Brinkumer SV?
Brinkumer SV starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,831 vs 1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geestemünde have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Brinkumer SV have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eiche Horn(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Woltmershausen(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 9, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Geestemünde win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Brinkumer SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Brinkumer SV 3-0 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Geestemünde 0-0 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 3, 2025 | Brinkumer SV 3-3 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Geestemünde 1-1 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Brinkumer SV 2-1 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Geestemünde 7-0 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Brinkumer SV vs Geestemünde on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Geestemünde score 2.1 and concede 3.6 goals per match over their last 15; Brinkumer SV score 3.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 91% probability of over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geestemünde | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Brinkumer SV | 3.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geestemünde sit 13th in Oberliga - Bremen (1 points from 3 matches) and Brinkumer SV sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brinkumer SV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | Geestemünde | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geestemünde vs Brinkumer SV?
- The Footlab model makes Brinkumer SV the favourite at 68%, against 14% for a draw and 17% for Geestemünde.
- Where and when is Geestemünde vs Brinkumer SV played?
- Geestemünde vs Brinkumer SV is played on September 27, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 91% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.