Vatan Sport vs Union Bremen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 8Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)BSA Gröpelingen, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Union Bremen the favourite at 55%, against 18% for a draw and 28% for Vatan Sport. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vatan Sport vs Union Bremen?
Union Bremen starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,769 vs 1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vatan Sport have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Union Bremen have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Geestemünde(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(away) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Hemelingen(away) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Woltmershausen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Oberneuland(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Geestemünde(away) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 9, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vatan Sport win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Union Bremen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Vatan Sport 0-6 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Union Bremen 3-0 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 11, 2025 | Vatan Sport 5-3 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Union Bremen 4-2 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 5, 2024 | Union Bremen 5-2 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Vatan Sport 1-4 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Vatan Sport vs Union Bremen on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vatan Sport score 2.2 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Union Bremen score 2.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 88% probability of over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vatan Sport | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
| Union Bremen | 2.6 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vatan Sport sit 3rd in Oberliga - Bremen (7 points from 3 matches) and Union Bremen sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vatan Sport | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Union Bremen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vatan Sport vs Union Bremen?
- The Footlab model makes Union Bremen the favourite at 55%, against 18% for a draw and 28% for Vatan Sport.
- Where and when is Vatan Sport vs Union Bremen played?
- Vatan Sport vs Union Bremen is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at BSA Gröpelingen, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.