Gefest vs Tarlan: result 0-1 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on July 3, 2011 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Metallurg, Temirtau
Full time
What was the result of Gefest vs Tarlan?
Tarlan won 0-1 on July 3, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Gefest have 3 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Tarlan have 4, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2011 | Kaspiy(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jun 13, 2011 | Ile-Saulet(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jun 5, 2011 | Okzhetpes(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Jun 2, 2011 | Kyzylzhar(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| May 27, 2011 | CSKA Almaty(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2011 | Kaspiy(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Jun 23, 2011 | Ile-Saulet(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Jun 16, 2011 | Okzhetpes(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Jun 13, 2011 | Kyzylzhar(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Jun 5, 2011 | CSKA Almaty(home) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Gefest score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 12; Tarlan score 0.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gefest | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/12 | 5/12 |
| Tarlan | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 3/13 | 5/13 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy