Gefest vs Tarlan: result 0-1 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on July 3, 2011 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Metallurg, Temirtau
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What was the result of Gefest vs Tarlan?
Tarlan won 0-1 on July 3, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Gefest have 3 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Tarlan have 4, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2011 | Kaspiy(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jun 13, 2011 | Ile-Saulet(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jun 5, 2011 | Okzhetpes(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Jun 2, 2011 | Kyzylzhar(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| May 27, 2011 | CSKA Almaty(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2011 | Kaspiy(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Jun 23, 2011 | Ile-Saulet(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Jun 16, 2011 | Okzhetpes(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Jun 13, 2011 | Kyzylzhar(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Jun 5, 2011 | CSKA Almaty(home) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Gefest score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 12; Tarlan score 0.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gefest | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/12 | 5/12 |
| Tarlan | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 3/13 | 5/13 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy