Gela vs Modica: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Vincenzo Presti, Gela
The Footlab AI model makes Gela the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Modica. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gela wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gela vs Modica?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Gela (1,584) and Modica (1,635).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gela vs Modica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gela
Not enough data to predict the Gela lineup.
Modica
Not enough data to predict the Modica lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gela have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Modica have 3, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Milazzo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Enna(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Calcio Avola(away) | 4-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Enna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CastrumFavara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Gela score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Modica score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gela | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Modica | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 2/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gela sit 14th in Serie D - Girone I (5 points from 7 matches) and Modica sit 13th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 14 | Gela | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
A question about Gela vs Modica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gela vs Modica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gela the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Modica.
- Where and when is Gela vs Modica played?
- Gela vs Modica is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vincenzo Presti, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.