Ragusa vs Reggina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Aldo Campo, Ragusa
The Footlab model makes Reggina the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for Ragusa. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ragusa vs Reggina?
Reggina starts as the favourite with a 251-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ragusa have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Reggina have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Messina(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| May 3, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Acireale(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sancataldese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Messina(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Nissa(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| May 10, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| May 3, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Paternò(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Ragusa win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Reggina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Ragusa 0-1 Reggina | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Reggina 2-0 Ragusa | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Ragusa 0-1 Reggina | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Reggina 1-0 Ragusa | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Ragusa score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Reggina score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragusa | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Reggina | 1.3 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ragusa sit 14th in Serie D - Girone I (34 points from 34 matches) and Reggina sit 3rd (66 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Reggina | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 23 | 66 |
| 14 | Ragusa | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 23 | 34 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ragusa vs Reggina?
- The Footlab model makes Reggina the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for Ragusa.
- Where and when is Ragusa vs Reggina played?
- Ragusa vs Reggina is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Aldo Campo, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.