Génesis vs Victoria: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga NacionalApertura - 11Kick-off on October 5, 2024 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Carlos Miranda, Comayagua
Full time
What was the result of Génesis vs Victoria?
Génesis won 2-1 on October 5, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 32′R. MoreiraGénesis (pen.)
- 39′R. BlackburnVictoria (pen.)
- 90′M. CanalesGénesis
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Génesis have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Victoria have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | CD Olimpia(away) | 0-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Juticalpa(away) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2024 | CD Marathon(home) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 14, 2024 | CD Motagua(home) | 0-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Olancho(away) | 0-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | CD Marathon(home) | 3-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 22, 2024 | CD Motagua(home) | 1-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Real Espana(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Olancho(home) | 3-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 1, 2024 | CD Real Sociedad(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Génesis win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Victoria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2024 | Victoria 2-2 Génesis | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Génesis 0-0 Victoria | Liga Nacional |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Victoria 1-1 Génesis | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Victoria 2-2 Génesis | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Génesis 3-1 Victoria | Liga Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Génesis score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria score 1.4 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Génesis | 0.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
| Victoria | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Génesis | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy