Gent vs Charleroi: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Planet Group Arena, Gent
The Footlab AI model makes Gent the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Charleroi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gent wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gent vs Charleroi?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Gent (2,101) and Charleroi (2,075).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gent vs Charleroi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gent
3-4-2-1- 11M. Sonko
- 20Tiago Araújo
- 17M. Delorge-Knieper
- 22Leonardo Lopes
- 45B. Goore
- 27T. De Vlieger
- 57M. Volckaert
- 16C. Burgess
- 44S. Van der Heyden
- 5M. Ngom
- 33D. Roef
Charleroi
4-2-3-1- 21A. Scheidler
- 18Y. Khalifi
- 6A. Boukamir
- 14P. Pflücke
- 8J. Romsaas
- 20F. Situmona Mbemba
- 3K. Van Den Kerkhof
- 24M. Nzita
- 95C. Keita
- 4A. Ousou
- 30M. Koné
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gent have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Charleroi have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gent wins, 1 draw, 2 Charleroi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Charleroi 2-3 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Gent 2-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Gent 1-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Gent 0-3 Charleroi | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Charleroi 1-0 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Gent 5-0 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gent score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Charleroi score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Charleroi | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gent sit 1st in Jupiler Pro League (22 points from 8 matches) and Charleroi sit 3rd (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
| 3 | Charleroi | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
A question about Gent vs Charleroi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gent vs Charleroi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gent the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Charleroi.
- Where and when is Gent vs Charleroi played?
- Gent vs Charleroi is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Planet Group Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.