Charleroi vs Club Brugge KV: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Charleroi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charleroi vs Club Brugge KV?
Club Brugge KV starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (2,211 vs 1,987).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charleroi have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Club Brugge KV have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-1 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Charleroi win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Club Brugge KV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Charleroi 1-2 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Charleroi 2-0 Club Brugge KV | Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Club Brugge KV 1-0 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Club Brugge KV 4-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Charleroi 1-1 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Charleroi 1-4 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Charleroi vs Club Brugge KV on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Charleroi score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Club Brugge KV score 2.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Club Brugge KV | 2.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charleroi sit 2nd in Jupiler Pro League (9 points from 3 matches) and Club Brugge KV sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Charleroi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charleroi vs Club Brugge KV?
- The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Charleroi.
- Where and when is Charleroi vs Club Brugge KV played?
- Charleroi vs Club Brugge KV is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.