KV Mechelen vs Kortrijk: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Malines
The Footlab model makes KV Mechelen the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kortrijk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Kortrijk?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate KV Mechelen (1,886) and Kortrijk (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Kortrijk have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Antwerp(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Club Brugge II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Reims(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | KAA Gent II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 KV Mechelen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kortrijk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | Kortrijk 3-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | KV Mechelen 3-0 Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | KV Mechelen 3-0 Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Kortrijk 0-3 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 21, 2023 | KV Mechelen 3-2 Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Kortrijk 0-1 KV Mechelen | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen on Nov 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
KV Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kortrijk score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Kortrijk | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KV Mechelen sit 14th in Jupiler Pro League (1 points from 3 matches) and Kortrijk sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | Kortrijk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KV Mechelen vs Kortrijk?
- The Footlab model makes KV Mechelen the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kortrijk.
- Where and when is KV Mechelen vs Kortrijk played?
- KV Mechelen vs Kortrijk is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.