Geoje Citizen vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Geoje Stadium, Geoje
The Footlab model makes Jungnang Chorus Mustang the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Geoje Citizen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geoje Citizen vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Geoje Citizen (1,613) and Jungnang Chorus Mustang (1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geoje Citizen have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Jungnang Chorus Mustang have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jincheon(away) | 1-4 | K4 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Pyeongchang United(away) | 3-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Incheon Seogot(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Sejong SA(home) | 1-2 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Namyangju(home) | 0-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Geumsan Insam(away) | 3-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Gijang United(home) | 3-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Namyangju(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Pyeongtaek Citizen(away) | 1-1 | K4 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Geoje Citizen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Jungnang Chorus Mustang win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang 0-1 Geoje Citizen | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Jungnang Chorus Mustang vs Geoje Citizen on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Geoje Citizen score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Jungnang Chorus Mustang score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoje Citizen | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Jungnang Chorus Mustang | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geoje Citizen sit 8th in K4 League (21 points from 16 matches) and Jungnang Chorus Mustang sit 5th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | Geoje Citizen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geoje Citizen vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang?
- The Footlab model makes Jungnang Chorus Mustang the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Geoje Citizen.
- Where and when is Geoje Citizen vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang played?
- Geoje Citizen vs Jungnang Chorus Mustang is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Geoje Stadium, in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.