Geumsan Insam vs Pyeongtaek Citizen: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Geumsan Insam the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Pyeongtaek Citizen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geumsan Insam vs Pyeongtaek Citizen?
Geumsan Insam starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,642 vs 1,437).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geumsan Insam have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Pyeongtaek Citizen have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(away) | 3-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(home) | 1-3 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 2-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Changwon City(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Haman(away) | 3-1 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 0-2 | K4 League |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(home) | 0-5 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(home) | 1-1 | K4 League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(home) | 2-3 | K4 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Geumsan Insam win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Pyeongtaek Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pyeongtaek Citizen 2-7 Geumsan Insam | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Geumsan Insam on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Geumsan Insam score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pyeongtaek Citizen score 0.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geumsan Insam | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Pyeongtaek Citizen | 0.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geumsan Insam sit 3rd in K4 League (30 points from 18 matches) and Pyeongtaek Citizen sit 13th (9 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Geumsan Insam | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 30 |
| 13 | Pyeongtaek Citizen | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geumsan Insam vs Pyeongtaek Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Geumsan Insam the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Pyeongtaek Citizen.
- Where and when is Geumsan Insam vs Pyeongtaek Citizen played?
- Geumsan Insam vs Pyeongtaek Citizen is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC), in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.