Jinju Citizen vs Namyangju: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Jinju Stadium, Jinju
The Footlab model makes Jinju Citizen the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Namyangju. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jinju Citizen vs Namyangju?
Jinju Citizen starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jinju Citizen have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Namyangju have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gijang United(away) | 4-1 | K4 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Busan Transportation(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Pyeongtaek Citizen(away) | 2-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Ansan Greeners(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(away) | 1-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 3-2 | K4 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Haman(home) | 2-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Jinju Citizen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Namyangju win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Namyangju 0-1 Jinju Citizen | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Namyangju vs Jinju Citizen on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jinju Citizen score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Namyangju score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinju Citizen | 2.3 | 1.0 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Namyangju | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jinju Citizen sit 1st in K4 League (46 points from 17 matches) and Namyangju sit 4th (29 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinju Citizen | 17 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Namyangju | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jinju Citizen vs Namyangju?
- The Footlab model makes Jinju Citizen the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Namyangju.
- Where and when is Jinju Citizen vs Namyangju played?
- Jinju Citizen vs Namyangju is played on September 6, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Jinju Stadium, in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.