Match

Germania Ratingen vs SW Essen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 26Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ratingen, Ratingen

Germania RatingenSW Essen

The Footlab model makes Germania Ratingen the favourite at 64%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Germania Ratingen vs SW Essen?

Germania Ratingen starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,874 vs 1,733).

Germania Ratingen win64 %
Draw18 %
SW Essen win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Germania Ratingen have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; SW Essen have 4, 0 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Germania Ratingen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Büderich(home)3-3Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 16, 2026Schonnebeck(away)2-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 26, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Monheim(away)0-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026Union Frintrop(home)3-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
SW Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SSVg Velbert(home)1-4Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 14, 2026Scherpenberg(away)3-5Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 11, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)1-5Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Meerbusch(home)3-4Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026Kleve(away)3-4Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Germania Ratingen win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 SW Essen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026SW Essen 0-1 Germania RatingenOberliga - Niederrhein
Nov 7, 2025Germania Ratingen 2-0 SW EssenOberliga - Niederrhein
Apr 25, 2025Germania Ratingen 1-2 SW EssenOberliga - Niederrhein
Nov 3, 2024SW Essen 4-2 Germania RatingenOberliga - Niederrhein
Mar 28, 2024SW Essen 2-0 Germania RatingenOberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 8, 2023Germania Ratingen 1-0 SW EssenOberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen on May 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Germania Ratingen score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Germania Ratingen2.31.5311/1512/15
SW Essen1.52.719/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Germania Ratingen sit 12th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (2 points from 2 matches) and SW Essen sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Germania Ratingen2020552
16SW Essen2002490

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Germania Ratingen vs SW Essen?
The Footlab model makes Germania Ratingen the favourite at 64%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for SW Essen.
Where and when is Germania Ratingen vs SW Essen played?
Germania Ratingen vs SW Essen is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ratingen, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Germania Ratingen and SW Essen

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