Match

SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 26Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Jahn-Sport-Anlage, Tönisvorst

SC St. TönisSSVg Velbert

The Footlab AI model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for SSVg Velbert. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC St. Tönis wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate SC St. Tönis (1,873) and SSVg Velbert (1,890).

41%23%36%
SC St. Tönis winDrawSSVg Velbert win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SC St. Tönis

4-3-3
  1. 12M. Heffungs
  2. 15F. Omorou
  3. 25B. Brusdeilins
  1. 33Jonas Theuerzeit
  2. 14K. Nakano
  3. 26L. Castrop
  1. 28F. Okihara
  2. 24M. Pohlig
  3. 4M. Darwish
  4. 6L. Esposito
  1. 1S. Sell

SSVg Velbert

Not enough data to predict the SSVg Velbert lineup.

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:27 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC St. Tönis have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; SSVg Velbert have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC St. Tönis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Holzheimer SG(home)1-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 11, 2026SSVg Velbert(away)2-3Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 2, 2026BW Dingden(away)0-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 27, 2026Büderich(home)4-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 18, 2026Schonnebeck(away)1-3Oberliga - Niederrhein
SSVg Velbert
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Solingen-Wald(away)3-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 11, 2026SC St. Tönis(home)3-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 2, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05(away)2-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 27, 2026BW Dingden(home)5-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 20, 2026Meerbusch(away)3-0Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 SC St. Tönis wins, 1 draw, 4 SSVg Velbert wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026SSVg Velbert 3-2 SC St. TönisOberliga - Niederrhein
Mar 14, 2025SSVg Velbert 3-2 SC St. TönisOberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 22, 2024SC St. Tönis 1-1 SSVg VelbertOberliga - Niederrhein
Mar 22, 2023SC St. Tönis 1-3 SSVg VelbertOberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 21, 2022SSVg Velbert 4-0 SC St. TönisOberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: SSVg Velbert vs SC St. Tönis on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC St. Tönis score 1.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; SSVg Velbert score 2.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC St. Tönis1.62.7210/1511/15
SSVg Velbert2.22.3211/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC St. Tönis sit 4th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (14 points from 8 matches) and SSVg Velbert sit 2nd (18 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2SSVg Velbert8602221318
4SC St. Tönis8422171214

A question about SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert?
The Footlab AI model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for SSVg Velbert.
Where and when is SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert played?
SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Jahn-Sport-Anlage, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SC St. Tönis and SSVg Velbert

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