SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 26Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Jahn-Sport-Anlage, Tönisvorst
The Footlab AI model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for SSVg Velbert. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC St. Tönis wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate SC St. Tönis (1,873) and SSVg Velbert (1,890).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC St. Tönis
4-3-3- 12M. Heffungs
- 15F. Omorou
- 25B. Brusdeilins
- 33Jonas Theuerzeit
- 14K. Nakano
- 26L. Castrop
- 28F. Okihara
- 24M. Pohlig
- 4M. Darwish
- 6L. Esposito
- 1S. Sell
SSVg Velbert
Not enough data to predict the SSVg Velbert lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC St. Tönis have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; SSVg Velbert have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Holzheimer SG(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 11, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 2, 2026 | BW Dingden(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Büderich(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Schonnebeck(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 11, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 2, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | BW Dingden(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Meerbusch(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 SC St. Tönis wins, 1 draw, 4 SSVg Velbert wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | SSVg Velbert 3-2 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 14, 2025 | SSVg Velbert 3-2 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 22, 2024 | SC St. Tönis 1-1 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 22, 2023 | SC St. Tönis 1-3 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 21, 2022 | SSVg Velbert 4-0 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SSVg Velbert vs SC St. Tönis on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC St. Tönis score 1.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; SSVg Velbert score 2.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC St. Tönis | 1.6 | 2.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| SSVg Velbert | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC St. Tönis sit 4th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (14 points from 8 matches) and SSVg Velbert sit 2nd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SSVg Velbert | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 18 |
| 4 | SC St. Tönis | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 14 |
A question about SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for SSVg Velbert.
- Where and when is SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert played?
- SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Jahn-Sport-Anlage, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 9, 2027Wuppertaler SVvsScherpenberg
- Apr 11, 2027BW DingdenvsHolzheimer SG
- Apr 11, 2027SchonnebeckvsSF Baumberg
- Apr 11, 2027Germania RatingenvsSW Essen
- Apr 11, 2027MonheimvsSonsbeck
- Apr 11, 2027Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsMeerbusch
- Apr 11, 2027Solingen-WaldvsKFC Uerdingen 05
- Apr 11, 2027BüderichvsFortuna Düsseldorf II