Where and when is SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert played?

SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Jahn-Sport-Anlage, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 26Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Jahn-Sport-Anlage, Tönisvorst

SC St. Tönis

SSVg Velbert

The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for SSVg Velbert. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate SC St. Tönis (1,834) and SSVg Velbert (1,812).

SC St. Tönis win47 %

Draw22 %

SSVg Velbert win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC St. Tönis have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; SSVg Velbert have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC St. Tönis
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Eintracht Frankfurt(home)	0-11	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Solingen-Wald(home)	3-2	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 15, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(home)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Hilden(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein

SSVg Velbert
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SW Essen(away)	4-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 16, 2026	Wuppertaler SV(home)	1-0	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 12, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)	0-8	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Sportfreunde Siegen(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - West
May 8, 2026	Paderborn II(home)	1-3	Regionalliga - West

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 SC St. Tönis win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 SSVg Velbert win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2025	SSVg Velbert 3-2 SC St. Tönis	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 22, 2024	SC St. Tönis 1-1 SSVg Velbert	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Mar 22, 2023	SC St. Tönis 1-3 SSVg Velbert	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 21, 2022	SSVg Velbert 4-0 SC St. Tönis	Oberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: SSVg Velbert vs SC St. Tönis on Mar 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC St. Tönis	1.9	2.5	4	9/15	12/15
SSVg Velbert	1.3	2.1	2	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC St. Tönis sit 9th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and SSVg Velbert sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SSVg Velbert	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
9	SC St. Tönis	1	1	0	0	3	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert?: The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for SSVg Velbert.
Where and when is SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert played?: SC St. Tönis vs SSVg Velbert is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Jahn-Sport-Anlage, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.