Germany W vs Netherlands W: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League - WomenGroup StageKick-off on February 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Germany W the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Netherlands W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Germany W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,724 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Germany W vs Netherlands W?
Germany W starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,749).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Germany W vs Netherlands W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Germany W
4-3-3- 18M. Kössler
- 14C. Zicai
- 8V. Endemann
- 20E. SenÃ
- 19K. Bühl
- 5J. Minge
- 13C. Wamser
- 3C. Küver
- 17F. Kett
- 7S. Linder
- 1E. Mahmutovic
Netherlands W
4-3-3- 7L. Beerensteyn
- 11E. Brugts
- 10D. van de Donk
- 21D. Egurrola
- 8W. Kaptein
- 17V. Pelova
- 2L. Wilms
- 20D. Janssen
- 4V. Buurman
- 13J. Levels
- 1L. Kop
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 03:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Germany W have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Netherlands W have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Japan W(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Australia W(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Women |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Slovenia W(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Norway W(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Austria W(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Hungary W(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Hungary W(away) | 8-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Poland W(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Republic of Ireland W(away) | 2-3 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Apr 18, 2026 | France W(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Germany W wins, 1 draw, 1 Netherlands W win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2025 | Germany W 4-0 Netherlands W | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Netherlands W 2-2 Germany W | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Netherlands W 0-2 Germany W | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Netherlands W 0-1 Germany W | Friendlies Women |
| Feb 24, 2021 | Netherlands W 2-1 Germany W | Friendlies Women |
Last archived meeting: Germany W vs Netherlands W on May 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Germany W score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Netherlands W score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany W | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Netherlands W | 2.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Germany W sit 1st in UEFA Nations League - Women (16 points from 6 matches) and Netherlands W sit 2nd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | Netherlands W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
A question about Germany W vs Netherlands W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Germany W vs Netherlands W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Germany W the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Netherlands W.
- Where and when is Germany W vs Netherlands W played?
- Germany W vs Netherlands W is played on February 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA Nations League - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.