Norway W vs Spain W: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League - WomenGroup StageKick-off on February 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo
The Footlab AI model makes Spain W the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Norway W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spain W wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,724 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Norway W vs Spain W?
Spain W starts as the favourite with a 232-point Elo edge (1,935 vs 1,703).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Norway W vs Spain W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Norway W
3-4-2-1- 14A. Hegerberg
- 21L. Naalsund
- 4J. Blakstad
- 13T. Bjelde
- 11G. Reiten
- 22S. Gaupset
- 20S. Jensen
- 7I. Engen
- 16M. Harviken
- 3M. Østenstad
- 1C. Fiskerstrand
Spain W
4-3-3- 7Salma Paralluelo
- 24E. Imade
- 8Mariona Caldentey
- 11Alexia Putellas
- 12Patri Guijarro
- 21Fiamma
- 17LucÃa Corrales
- 2Ona Batlle
- 5MarÃa Méndez
- 19Eva Navarro
- 23Adriana Nanclares
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 03:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norway W have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Spain W have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Romania W(home) | 6-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Romania W(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Austria W(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Germany W(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Slovenia W(away) | 3-2 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | USA W(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 10, 2026 | USA W(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Iceland W(away) | 6-1 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 5, 2026 | England W(home) | 4-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ukraine W(home) | 5-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Norway W wins, 0 draws, 1 Spain W win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | Spain W 4-2 Norway W | Friendlies Women |
How many goals should we expect?
Norway W score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spain W score 2.5 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway W | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Spain W | 2.5 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Norway W sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League - Women (8 points from 6 matches) and Spain W sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain WGroup 3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Norway WGroup 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
A question about Norway W vs Spain W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Norway W vs Spain W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spain W the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Norway W.
- Where and when is Norway W vs Spain W played?
- Norway W vs Spain W is played on February 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ullevaal Stadion, in the UEFA Nations League - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.