Moralo vs Cabeza Buey: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Navalmoral de la Mata, Navalmoral de la Mata
The Footlab AI model makes Moralo the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Cabeza Buey. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moralo vs Cabeza Buey?
On Elo ratings, Moralo has 1,917 points and Cabeza Buey 1,832.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Moralo vs Cabeza Buey
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Moralo
Not enough data to predict the Moralo lineup.
Cabeza Buey
Not enough data to predict the Cabeza Buey lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moralo have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Cabeza Buey have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Castuera(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Puebla Calzada(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gévora(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santa Amalia(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CD Zafra(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | CD Zafra(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jaraíz(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Villanovense(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guadiana(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Azuaga(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Moralo win, 0 draws, 1 Cabeza Buey win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Cabeza Buey 1-3 Moralo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Moralo 1-3 Cabeza Buey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
How many goals should we expect?
Moralo score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cabeza Buey score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moralo | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Cabeza Buey | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moralo sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (17 points from 7 matches) and Cabeza Buey sit 7th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Moralo | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 7 | Cabeza Buey | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Moralo vs Cabeza Buey?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moralo vs Cabeza Buey?
- The Footlab AI model makes Moralo the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Cabeza Buey.
- Where and when is Moralo vs Cabeza Buey played?
- Moralo vs Cabeza Buey is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Navalmoral de la Mata, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.