Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Lucchese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Carraia, Coreglia Antelminelli
The Footlab AI model makes Lucchese the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lucchese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Lucchese?
Lucchese starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,611).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Lucchese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Not enough data to predict the Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano lineup.
Lucchese
4-3-3- 9S. Magnaghi
- 10A. Selvini
- 19F. Fedato
- 27R. Gucher
- 70E. Saporiti
- 96G. Galli
- 5S. Benedetti
- 21E. Visconti
- 29E. Antoni
- 30A. Gemignani
- 59R. Melgrati
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 06:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Lucchese have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Sestri Levante(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ternana(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano wins, 2 draws, 1 Lucchese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lucchese 1-1 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Lucchese 2-0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1-1 Lucchese | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Lucchese vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano score 0.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Lucchese | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano sit 17th in Serie D - Girone E (3 points from 10 matches) and Lucchese sit 10th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lucchese | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 15 |
| 17 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 3 |
A question about Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Lucchese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Lucchese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lucchese the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano.
- Where and when is Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Lucchese played?
- Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Lucchese is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Carraia, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.