Giana Erminio vs Trento: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 5Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Gorgonzola
The Footlab model makes Trento the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Giana Erminio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Giana Erminio vs Trento?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Giana Erminio (1,777) and Trento (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Giana Erminio have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Trento have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Trento(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Modena(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Giana Erminio win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Trento win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Trento 1-2 Giana Erminio | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Trento 3-1 Giana Erminio | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Giana Erminio 0-2 Trento | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Giana Erminio 2-0 Trento | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Trento 2-0 Giana Erminio | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Trento 0-0 Giana Erminio | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Trento vs Giana Erminio on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Giana Erminio score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Trento score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giana Erminio | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Trento | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Giana Erminio sit 13th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Trento sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trento | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Giana Erminio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Giana Erminio vs Trento?
- The Footlab model makes Trento the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Giana Erminio.
- Where and when is Giana Erminio vs Trento played?
- Giana Erminio vs Trento is played on September 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.