Renate vs Dolomiti Bellunesi: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 5Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Mino Favini, Meda
The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Dolomiti Bellunesi. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Renate vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
Renate starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renate have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Dolomiti Bellunesi have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Trento(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Renate win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Dolomiti Bellunesi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi 0-3 Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Renate 2-0 Dolomiti Bellunesi | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Renate on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Renate score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dolomiti Bellunesi score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renate | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Renate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Renate vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
- The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Dolomiti Bellunesi.
- Where and when is Renate vs Dolomiti Bellunesi played?
- Renate vs Dolomiti Bellunesi is played on September 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mino Favini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.