Where and when is Lumezzane vs Novara played?

Lumezzane vs Novara is played on September 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lumezzane vs Novara: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 5Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Nuovo Stadio Comunale, Lumezzane

Lumezzane

Novara

The Footlab model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lumezzane vs Novara?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Lumezzane (1,752) and Novara (1,758).

Lumezzane win41 %

Draw32 %

Novara win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lumezzane have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Novara have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lumezzane
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ospitaletto(away)	0-2	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 15, 2026	Renate(home)	2-2	Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 1, 2026	Cremonese(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 6, 2026	Cittadella(away)	0-1	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Alcione(home)	0-0	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

Novara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Juventus U23(away)	0-1	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026	Alcione(away)	1-0	Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 5, 2026	Virtus Entella(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Sampdoria(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Ospitaletto(away)	2-0	Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lumezzane win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 Novara win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 3, 2026	Novara 1-3 Lumezzane	Serie C - Girone A
Nov 29, 2025	Lumezzane 1-1 Novara	Serie C - Girone A
Apr 11, 2025	Lumezzane 2-2 Novara	Serie C - Girone A
Dec 1, 2024	Novara 0-0 Lumezzane	Serie C - Girone A
Mar 30, 2024	Novara 1-1 Lumezzane	Serie C - Girone A
Nov 26, 2023	Lumezzane 1-1 Novara	Serie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Novara vs Lumezzane on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lumezzane score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lumezzane	1.1	0.9	5	7/15	4/15
Novara	1.3	1.1	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lumezzane sit 19th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Novara sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
18	Novara	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
19	Lumezzane	1	0	0	1	0	2	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lumezzane vs Novara?: The Footlab model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Novara.
Where and when is Lumezzane vs Novara played?: Lumezzane vs Novara is played on September 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.