Gijang United vs Geoje Citizen: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Geoje Citizen the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Gijang United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gijang United vs Geoje Citizen?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Gijang United (1,565) and Geoje Citizen (1,613).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gijang United have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Geoje Citizen have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 1-4 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(away) | 2-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(away) | 0-3 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Busan Transportation(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 1-1 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jincheon(away) | 1-4 | K4 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Pyeongchang United(away) | 3-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Incheon Seogot(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Sejong SA(home) | 1-2 | K4 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Gijang United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Geoje Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Geoje Citizen 4-2 Gijang United | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Geoje Citizen vs Gijang United on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gijang United score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Geoje Citizen score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gijang United | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Geoje Citizen | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gijang United sit 10th in K4 League (20 points from 18 matches) and Geoje Citizen sit 8th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Geoje Citizen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 21 |
| 10 | Gijang United | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gijang United vs Geoje Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Geoje Citizen the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Gijang United.
- Where and when is Gijang United vs Geoje Citizen played?
- Gijang United vs Geoje Citizen is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC), in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.