Jincheon vs Jinju Citizen: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Jinju Citizen the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Jincheon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jincheon vs Jinju Citizen?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Jincheon (1,693) and Jinju Citizen (1,744).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jincheon have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Jinju Citizen have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pyeongchang United(away) | 1-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Geoje Citizen(home) | 4-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sejong SA(away) | 1-4 | K4 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Namyangju(home) | 2-2 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gijang United(away) | 4-1 | K4 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Busan Transportation(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Pyeongtaek Citizen(away) | 2-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Ansan Greeners(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Jincheon win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Jinju Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Jinju Citizen 2-6 Jincheon | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Jinju Citizen vs Jincheon on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jincheon score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Jinju Citizen score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jincheon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Jinju Citizen | 2.3 | 1.0 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jincheon sit 2nd in K4 League (37 points from 18 matches) and Jinju Citizen sit 1st (46 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinju Citizen | 17 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Jincheon | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jincheon vs Jinju Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Jinju Citizen the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Jincheon.
- Where and when is Jincheon vs Jinju Citizen played?
- Jincheon vs Jinju Citizen is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC), in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.