Geumsan Insam vs Sejong SA: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Geumsan Insam the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Sejong SA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geumsan Insam vs Sejong SA?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Geumsan Insam (1,642) and Sejong SA (1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geumsan Insam have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sejong SA have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(away) | 3-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(home) | 1-3 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 2-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Changwon City(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Haman(away) | 3-1 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 4-5 | K4 League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Haman(away) | 0-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Jincheon(home) | 4-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Pyeongchang United(home) | 1-3 | K4 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Geumsan Insam win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sejong SA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Sejong SA 3-2 Geumsan Insam | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Sejong SA vs Geumsan Insam on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Geumsan Insam score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sejong SA score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geumsan Insam | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Sejong SA | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geumsan Insam sit 3rd in K4 League (30 points from 18 matches) and Sejong SA sit 7th (23 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Geumsan Insam | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 30 |
| 7 | Sejong SA | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geumsan Insam vs Sejong SA?
- The Footlab model makes Geumsan Insam the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Sejong SA.
- Where and when is Geumsan Insam vs Sejong SA played?
- Geumsan Insam vs Sejong SA is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC), in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.