Gijón Industrial vs Colunga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santa Cruz, Gijón
The Footlab AI model makes Gijón Industrial the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Colunga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gijón Industrial wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gijón Industrial vs Colunga?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Gijón Industrial (1,655) and Colunga (1,698).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gijón Industrial vs Colunga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gijón Industrial
4-3-3- AAdrián Rueda Colunga
- JJosé Naya
- DDiego Sánchez
- BBorja López Prieto
- BBabafemo Fofana
- SSanti Otero
- PPablo Bango
- JJuan Runza
- JJoaquin Flórez
- JJ. Korbla
- DDiego García Bravo
Colunga
Not enough data to predict the Colunga lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gijón Industrial have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Colunga have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Andes(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Condal(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Llanes(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mosconia(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 5-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gijón Industrial win, 2 draws, 3 Colunga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Gijón Industrial 6-2 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Colunga 1-1 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Colunga 3-2 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Gijón Industrial 1-3 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Gijón Industrial 1-1 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Colunga 1-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gijón Industrial vs Colunga on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gijón Industrial score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colunga score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gijón Industrial | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Colunga | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gijón Industrial sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (7 points from 5 matches) and Colunga sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Colunga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 11 |
| 10 | Gijón Industrial | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Gijón Industrial vs Colunga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gijón Industrial vs Colunga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gijón Industrial the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Colunga.
- Where and when is Gijón Industrial vs Colunga played?
- Gijón Industrial vs Colunga is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Cruz, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.