Astur vs Avilés Stadium: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Hermanos Llana, Oviedo
The Footlab AI model makes Astur the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Avilés Stadium. The most likely score is 1-1. If Astur wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Astur vs Avilés Stadium?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Astur (1,715) and Avilés Stadium (1,650).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Astur vs Avilés Stadium
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Astur
4-3-3- 9Marcos Iglesias
- 17Cristian Alonso Garcia
- 6Andrés Vicente Barrera Alvarado
- 21Javier Alonso González
- 8Carlos González Lorenzo
- 7Aser Benjamin Martin Lopez
- 14Santi Ramos
- 4Román LLavona Alvarez
- 5Miguel Astorgano Dominguez
- 20Diego Mon
- 1Sergio Delgado
Avilés Stadium
Not enough data to predict the Avilés Stadium lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Astur have 1 win, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Avilés Stadium have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mosconia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Martín(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Siero(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Colunga(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llanes(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lealtad(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Praviano(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | L'Entregu(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Astur score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 8; Avilés Stadium score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astur | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 4/8 | 5/8 |
| Avilés Stadium | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Astur sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (2 points from 5 matches) and Avilés Stadium sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Avilés Stadium | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 3 |
| 17 | Astur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
A question about Astur vs Avilés Stadium?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Astur vs Avilés Stadium?
- The Footlab AI model makes Astur the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Avilés Stadium.
- Where and when is Astur vs Avilés Stadium played?
- Astur vs Avilés Stadium is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Hermanos Llana, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.