Gimhae City vs Asan Mugunghwa: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 28Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Gimhae Civil Stadium, Gimhae
The Footlab model makes Asan Mugunghwa the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Gimhae City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimhae City vs Asan Mugunghwa?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Gimhae City (1,608) and Asan Mugunghwa (1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimhae City have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Asan Mugunghwa have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Suwon City FC(away) | 0-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Suwon Bluewings(away) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ansan Greeners(away) | 2-2 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yongin City(home) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Daegu FC(away) | 0-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ansan Greeners(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 2-0 | K League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Gimhae City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Asan Mugunghwa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Gimhae City | K League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Asan Mugunghwa vs Gimhae City on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimhae City score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Asan Mugunghwa score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimhae City | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Asan Mugunghwa | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimhae City sit 17th in K League 2 (12 points from 21 matches) and Asan Mugunghwa sit 7th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Asan Mugunghwa | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gimhae City | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 40 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimhae City vs Asan Mugunghwa?
- The Footlab model makes Asan Mugunghwa the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Gimhae City.
- Where and when is Gimhae City vs Asan Mugunghwa played?
- Gimhae City vs Asan Mugunghwa is played on October 10, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Gimhae Civil Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.