Suwon City FC vs Hwaseong: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 28Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Suwon Sports Complex, Suwon
The Footlab model makes Suwon City FC the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Hwaseong. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Suwon City FC vs Hwaseong?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Suwon City FC (1,736) and Hwaseong (1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Suwon City FC have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Hwaseong have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimhae City(home) | 2-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Suwon Bluewings(away) | 2-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paju Citizen(away) | 1-0 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Daegu FC(away) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Daegu FC(home) | 5-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Suwon City FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hwaseong win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Hwaseong 1-1 Suwon City FC | K League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Hwaseong vs Suwon City FC on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Suwon City FC score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hwaseong score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suwon City FC | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Hwaseong | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Suwon City FC sit 3rd in K League 2 (40 points from 21 matches) and Hwaseong sit 6th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suwon City FC | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 26 | 40 |
| 6 | Hwaseong | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Suwon City FC vs Hwaseong?
- The Footlab model makes Suwon City FC the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Hwaseong.
- Where and when is Suwon City FC vs Hwaseong played?
- Suwon City FC vs Hwaseong is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Suwon Sports Complex, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.