Gimhae City vs Hwaseong: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 32Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Gimhae Civil Stadium, Gimhae
The Footlab model makes Hwaseong the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Gimhae City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimhae City vs Hwaseong?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Gimhae City (1,608) and Hwaseong (1,679).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimhae City have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Hwaseong have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Suwon City FC(away) | 0-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Suwon Bluewings(away) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ansan Greeners(away) | 2-2 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Daegu FC(home) | 5-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gimhae City win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Hwaseong win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Hwaseong 2-0 Gimhae City | K League 2 |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Gimhae City 1-2 Hwaseong | K3 League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Hwaseong 1-1 Gimhae City | K3 League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Gimhae City 2-2 Hwaseong | K3 League |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Hwaseong 0-0 Gimhae City | K3 League |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Gimhae City 0-0 Hwaseong | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Hwaseong vs Gimhae City on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimhae City score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hwaseong score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimhae City | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Hwaseong | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimhae City sit 17th in K League 2 (12 points from 21 matches) and Hwaseong sit 6th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hwaseong | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 36 |
| 17 | Gimhae City | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 40 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimhae City vs Hwaseong?
- The Footlab model makes Hwaseong the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Gimhae City.
- Where and when is Gimhae City vs Hwaseong played?
- Gimhae City vs Hwaseong is played on November 7, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Gimhae Civil Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.