Paju Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 32Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Paju Public Stadium, Paju
The Footlab model makes Asan Mugunghwa the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Paju Citizen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paju Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Paju Citizen (1,605) and Asan Mugunghwa (1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paju Citizen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Asan Mugunghwa have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Suwon City FC(home) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yongin City(home) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Daegu FC(away) | 0-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ansan Greeners(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 2-0 | K League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Paju Citizen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Asan Mugunghwa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa 3-2 Paju Citizen | K League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Asan Mugunghwa vs Paju Citizen on Mar 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paju Citizen score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Asan Mugunghwa score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paju Citizen | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Asan Mugunghwa | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paju Citizen sit 11th in K League 2 (25 points from 22 matches) and Asan Mugunghwa sit 7th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Asan Mugunghwa | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 31 |
| 11 | Paju Citizen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paju Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa?
- The Footlab model makes Asan Mugunghwa the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Paju Citizen.
- Where and when is Paju Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa played?
- Paju Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa is played on November 8, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Paju Public Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.