Where and when is Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. played?

Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. is played on August 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 6Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Gimnasia L.P.

Gimnasia M.

The Footlab model makes Gimnasia L.P. the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Gimnasia M.. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Gimnasia L.P. (1,893) and Gimnasia M. (1,850).

Gimnasia L.P. win52 %

Draw26 %

Gimnasia M. win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia L.P. have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Gimnasia M. have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gimnasia L.P.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Deportivo Riestra(away)	1-1	Copa Argentina
Aug 15, 2026	Estudiantes L.P.(away)	0-4	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 9, 2026	Barracas Central(home)	2-0	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 2, 2026	Aldosivi(away)	2-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 29, 2026	River Plate(home)	1-0	Liga Profesional Argentina

Gimnasia M.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Talleres Cordoba(home)	3-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 9, 2026	Instituto Cordoba(away)	0-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 1, 2026	Union Santa Fe(home)	2-0	Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 28, 2026	San Lorenzo(away)	0-1	Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 24, 2026	Central Cordoba de Santiago(home)	1-0	Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Gimnasia L.P. win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gimnasia M. win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Gimnasia M. 0-1 Gimnasia L.P.	Liga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: Gimnasia M. vs Gimnasia L.P. on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gimnasia L.P. score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnasia M. score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gimnasia L.P.	1.4	1.0	7	5/15	7/15
Gimnasia M.	1.1	1.1	5	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gimnasia L.P. sit 6th in Liga Profesional Argentina (26 points from 16 matches) and Gimnasia M. sit 11th (19 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Gimnasia M.	5	3	0	2	6	3	9
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	8	2	6	19	19	26
6	Gimnasia L.P.	5	3	0	2	6	7	9
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14	22	19

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M.?: The Footlab model makes Gimnasia L.P. the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Gimnasia M..
Where and when is Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. played?: Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia M. is played on August 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.