Gimnastic vs Atlético Madrid II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Costa Daurada, Tarragona
The Footlab model makes Atlético Madrid II the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Gimnastic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnastic vs Atlético Madrid II?
Atlético Madrid II starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnastic have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Atlético Madrid II have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Espanyol II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olot(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 30, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Gimnastic win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Atlético Madrid II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II 1-2 Gimnastic | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Gimnastic 0-3 Atlético Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Madrid II vs Gimnastic on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnastic score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Madrid II score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnastic | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Atlético Madrid II | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnastic sit 14th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (47 points from 38 matches) and Atlético Madrid II sit 3rd (67 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atlético Madrid II | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64 | 44 | 67 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 49 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnastic vs Atlético Madrid II?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Madrid II the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Gimnastic.
- Where and when is Gimnastic vs Atlético Madrid II played?
- Gimnastic vs Atlético Madrid II is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Costa Daurada, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.