Gimnastic vs Real Madrid II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Costa Daurada, Tarragona
The Footlab AI model makes Gimnastic the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Real Madrid II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gimnastic wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnastic vs Real Madrid II?
On Elo ratings, Gimnastic has 1,872 points and Real Madrid II 1,976.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gimnastic vs Real Madrid II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gimnastic
4-3-3- 17Alex Almansa
- 12S. Bakış
- 20C. Segura
- 8Marc Montalvo
- 16M. Babanzila
- 10Eugeni Valderrama
- 23Manel Royo
- 22Joseda
- 21I. Athuman
- 15José Amo
- 13Vicent Abril
Real Madrid II
4-3-3- 7Daniel Yañez
- 10Pol Fortuny
- 19A. Carvajal
- 16Sergio Martínez
- 6J. Cestero Sancho
- 24Thiago Pitarch
- 2Jesús Fortea
- 3Diego Aguado
- 21O. Naasei
- 5J. Martinez
- 1Sergio Mestre
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 06:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnastic have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Real Madrid II have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 0-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Antequera(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sant Andreu(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Gimnastic win, 0 draws, 1 Real Madrid II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2022 | Gimnastic 1-0 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Real Madrid II 2-1 Gimnastic | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gimnastic vs Real Madrid II on Feb 6, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnastic score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid II score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnastic | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Madrid II | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnastic sit 11th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (11 points from 8 matches) and Real Madrid II sit 9th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Madrid II | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Gimnastic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Gimnastic vs Real Madrid II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnastic vs Real Madrid II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gimnastic the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Real Madrid II.
- Where and when is Gimnastic vs Real Madrid II played?
- Gimnastic vs Real Madrid II is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Costa Daurada, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.