Gimpo Citizen vs Gimhae City: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 30Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Gimpo Stadium, Gimpo
The Footlab model makes Gimpo Citizen the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Gimhae City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimpo Citizen vs Gimhae City?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Gimpo Citizen (1,684) and Gimhae City (1,608).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimpo Citizen have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Gimhae City have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cheonan City(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cheongju(home) | 3-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Incheon United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Suwon City FC(away) | 0-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Suwon Bluewings(away) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ansan Greeners(away) | 2-2 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Gimpo Citizen win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gimhae City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Gimhae City 1-2 Gimpo Citizen | K League 2 |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Gimhae City 1-1 Gimpo Citizen | K3 League |
| Jun 19, 2021 | Gimpo Citizen 1-2 Gimhae City | K3 League |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Gimhae City 2-1 Gimpo Citizen | K3 League |
| May 16, 2020 | Gimpo Citizen 2-3 Gimhae City | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Gimhae City vs Gimpo Citizen on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimpo Citizen score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gimhae City score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimpo Citizen | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Gimhae City | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimpo Citizen sit 8th in K League 2 (31 points from 21 matches) and Gimhae City sit 17th (12 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gimpo Citizen | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 31 |
| 17 | Gimhae City | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 40 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimpo Citizen vs Gimhae City?
- The Footlab model makes Gimpo Citizen the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Gimhae City.
- Where and when is Gimpo Citizen vs Gimhae City played?
- Gimpo Citizen vs Gimhae City is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Gimpo Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.