Glacis United vs Mons Calpe: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Mons Calpe the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Glacis United. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Glacis United vs Mons Calpe?
Mons Calpe starts as the favourite with a 258-point Elo edge (1,362 vs 1,103).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Glacis United have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Mons Calpe have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Europa(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Mons Calpe(home) | 0-2 | Rock Cup |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 0-5 | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | College 1975(away) | 2-0 | Rock Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Europa(away) | 1-4 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 3-1 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Glacis United win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Mons Calpe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Glacis United 0-2 Mons Calpe | Rock Cup |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Glacis United 0-4 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Mons Calpe 2-0 Glacis United | Premier Division |
| Jan 13, 2025 | Mons Calpe 1-3 Glacis United | Premier Division |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Glacis United 2-0 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Mons Calpe 5-1 Glacis United | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Glacis United vs Mons Calpe on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Glacis United score 0.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mons Calpe score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glacis United | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Mons Calpe | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glacis United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Glacis United vs Mons Calpe?
- The Footlab model makes Mons Calpe the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Glacis United.
- Where and when is Glacis United vs Mons Calpe played?
- Glacis United vs Mons Calpe is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.